Page 79 - Nuvama | IC Report 2023
P. 79

INDIA: THE 5D ADVANTAGE


                       Over the last few years, apart from government incentives, the Indian specialty chemicals industry is
                       driving its capabilities by focusing on 2–3 niche molecules and their derivatives; putting in continued
                       efforts to distinguish itself via expertise in process chemistry; and investing in complementary legs of
                       the value chain to establish a fully integrated business model.

                       Defence security: A necessity in 2020s

                       Ever  since  the  fall  of  Communism,  the  world  has  been  unipolar,  centred  on  the  US.  The  US  was
                       instrumental in brining about global trade arrangements, financial regulations, monetary system and   Nations will
                       security arrangements. This may be changing though as the world is increasingly turning multipolar with   have to rethink
                       Russia and China emerging as revisionist superpowers. Specifically with regards to defence security,   their existing security
                                                                                                            arrangements,
                       nations will have to rethink their existing arrangements. This will entail boosting domestic defence   i.e. to boost
                       manufacturing  capabilities  and  diversifying  the  sources  of  procurement  of  defence  equipment.   domestic defence
                       Defence spending is set to jump, if not explode.                                     manufacturing
                       For countries such as India, there is a clear need to be self-reliant in defence manufacturing capabilities   capabilities and
                       considering the country shares borders with several countries and has a history of wars with China   diversify sources of
                       and Pakistan. Reliability of the US in terms of ensuring peace and security in the region is now not as   procurement of
                       high as it used to be, since the US seems to be stretched and exhausted in its role as the custodian of   defence equipment
                       global peace. At the same time, Pakistan is increasingly looking like a failed state while China is showing
                       resolve to establish itself as a regional hegemon. For India, all these necessitate a step-up in defence
                       spending as well as domestic defence manufacturing capabilities.
                       According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, India is among the top five nations
                       in the world by spend on defence. But India lags the top two – US and China – by a wide margin. Even
                       otherwise, India’s defence spending in terms of capex has grown slower than its nominal GDP. Given
                       current geopolitics, it is only natural that this segment gets its due.


                       1500                                                                                      Exhibit 15:
                                                                                                                 Defence spending
                                                                                                                 across countries
                                                                                                                 (USD billion)
                       1200                                                                        77
                       (USD, bn)  900  47                           65      66      71     73     293


                              145     47     51      51      57            233     240    258
                                     164     182     197    199     210
                        600


                        300   725    679     648    634     640     647    682     734     778    801


                          0
                             2012    2013   2014    2015    2016   2017    2018    2019   2020    2021
                                              US      China     India    UK      Russia
                           Source: SIPRI, Nuvama Research

                                                                                                                            77
   74   75   76   77   78   79   80   81   82   83   84