Page 50 - Nuvama | IC Report 2023
P. 50

•  DE-GLOBALISATION  •  DEREGULATION  •  DEBT  • DEMOGRAPHY  •  DEMOCRACY


                                      India a land of opportunity
                                      In such a scenario, the demand for more workers puts India in a sweet spot given its large young
                                      population with majority of them falling in the working-age group, i.e. 15–64 years. Besides, the share
                                      of old-age population is low and expected to keep declining over the coming decade.
                                        19
                     Exhibit 2:
                 India to supply
                ~20% of world’s
              workforce by 2030          18

                                        17
                                       (%)
                                        16

                                        15

                                        14


                                        13
                                        1950     1960    1970    1980    1990     2000    2010    2020    2030
                                                            India’s share in world working age population
                                        Source: UN, Nuvama Research
                                        Note: People of ages 15 to 64 are considered as working age population
                     Exhibit 3:
                India’s workforce
                  to rise fastest   India                                                          17
                  among major     Malaysia                                                        17
                   economies
                                   Mexico                                                   12
                              United States                                     3
                                    Brazil                                       3
                             United Kingdom                                   1
                                   China                          -5
                                   Russia                     -9
                                 Germany                 -13
                                  Thailand            -14
                                   Taiwan          -17
                               South Korea  -24
                                          -25    -20   -15   -10    -5     0     5     10    15     20
                                                       Change in working age population from 2020 - 2040 (%)
                                        Source: UN, Nuvama Research
                       Young India    By virtue of this, India is set to get a once-in-a-century “demographic advantage” over coming one–
                        can be the    two decades. Among major economies, India’s working age population is set to rise at its fastest pace
                    largest supplier   anywhere in the world over the next 20 years. During this period, India can be the largest supplier
                      of workers in   of workers for the world given the rapid ageing and slowing of working-age population across major
                         the world    economies such as China, the US, the EU, South Korea and Taiwan.


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