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            Capital markets and domestic economy: A divergence
            too far?


            One  of  the  unique  aspects  of  the  capital  market  cycle  this  time  around  has  been  the
            divergence between economic momentum, and the access and raising of equity capital in
            markets in general. This dichotomy should not hold for too long—with a mean reversal of
            either one, sooner rather than later.




            the pandemic capital market is unique—globally, in its looking beyond the immediate. But

            investors’ willingness to take risk with capital.

            Credit growth lags market's stellar performance



                                                                                36
                 90                                                             32

                                                                                28
                 60
                                                                                24           A stunning element
              ( % YoY)  30                                                      20    ( % YoY)  of the market shift

                                                                                16
                                                                                             has been that the
                  0                                                             12           largest businesses
                                                                                 8           have raised more
                 (30)                                                            4           equity than debt in
                      Dec- 05     Dec- 09      Dec- 13      Dec- 17      Dec- 21             recent years
                              Nifty (% You)         Aggregate credit growth - RHS


            Source: CMIE, Bloomberg, Edelweiss Research

            A stunning element of the market shift has been that the largest businesses have raised
            more equity than debt in recent years. This underscores the vibrancy of the markets, and



            While this could be mirroring the state of the market, which could easily slip, it does tell
            what can be, and the markets’ capacity to support growth and capital, if the need arises.



            historically, a gap in the markets. This has not gone away, but the scope of large raises and
            the breath of niche business capital-raising in the current cycle suggest the markets have
            moved a leg ahead of their previous avatar.








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