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New Energy         Digital      Manufacturing   Capital Markets  Human Capital













            Food Delivery


            Food delivery platforms have made online food ordering experience incredibly convenient
            and cater to much larger catchment areas. This cocktail of convenience and wider catchment


            is no exception.


            India’s  online  food  delivery  industry  logged  a  staggering  143%  CAGR  over  2015–19,
            expanding to USD4.2bn. India’s food delivery GMV is expected to expand at a 35% CAGR
            over 2020–25 to USD13bn by 2025, from USD2.9bn in 2020. Furthermore, by 2030, the
            online food delivery industry is expected to reach USD30bn, implying an 18% CAGR over
            2025–30.

            India Food Delivery GMV and growth


                40                                                                           160


                32                                                                           120


                24                                                                           80
              (USD bn)  16                                                                   40   (%)





                 8                                                                           0


                 0                                                                           -40
                      FY16       FY17       FY18      FY19       FY20      FY25E     FY30E
                                 Foodtech GMV (USD bn)  YoY Growth Rate (%)


            In India, contribution of food delivery to restaurants rose to 8.7% in 2020 from 6.5% in 2019.
            In the US, China and South East Asia, it increased from 2.2% to 6%, 10.2% to 15.6% and 3.7%
            to 10.2%, respectively.

            According to Industry forecasts, the proportion of food delivery in India would increase to
            11.8% by 2025 and 16.2% by 2030. In China, a mature market that has among the highest
            proportions of food delivery, the ratio increased to 15.6% in 2020.

            We note that the proportion of food delivery also depends on GDP per capita. On this
            count, India ranks much lower than peers and, to that extent, a 16.2% proportion of food
            delivery by 2030 factors in many industry tailwinds.










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