Page 9 - Nuvama | IC Report 2023
P. 9

INDIA: THE 5D ADVANTAGE




































              financial sector is an economic force to reckon with. Conversely, a   are  now  a  political  consensus.  The  deregulation  and  the  reforms
              combination  of  ageing  population  and  over-indebtedness  tend   India  undertook  over  the  last  ten  years  –  GST,  fuel  price  reforms,
              to  push  economies  into  stagnation.  Japan’s  experience  of  the  last   DBT, Digitalisation, RERA and Bankruptcy Code, among others – are
              three  decades  is  not  lost  on  anyone.  Today,  China  is  enervated  by   arduous even for an authoritarian regime. These reforms altogether
              this twin squeeze—a rapidly ageing population and breakneck     add  up  to  the  second  unshackling  of  the  Indian  economy  (after
              debt accumulation.                                        1990) and open a long runway for its growth. India now combines the
                                                                        effectiveness and purposefulness of an authoritarian regime and the
              What  burnishes  India’s  appeal  further  is  its  vibrant  democracy.
              At times, democracies do appear wavering and chaotic, but they are   liberty and transparency of a democratic polity.
              transparent systems with checks and balances. They have a tendency   These forces make for a winning team of five for India, which we term as
              to  self-reflect  and  an  ability  to  course-correct—not  available  to   The 5D Advantage: De-globalisation, Demography, Debt, Deregulation
              authoritarian regimes. At one point, unwieldy coalition governments   and Democracy. Preparation may be meeting providence. The world
              in India meant complete policy stasis. Caste was the key instrument   seems  to  be  looking  for  an  India,  and  India  appears  ready  for  the
              of electoral mobilisation. Who would have thought this could change?   world.  If  BRICS  was  more  about  ‘C’  in  2000s,  ‘I’  seems  primed  for
              Today, good governance and development are the new grounds of   prominence in 2020s.
              electioneering in India. Economic reforms, once a political hot potato,










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