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•  DE-GLOBALISATION  •  DEREGULATION  •  DEBT  • DEMOGRAPHY  •  DEMOCRACY


                                      Digital infrastructure
                                      Last but not least, the government’s digital infrastructure has significantly enhanced people’s quality
                                      of life. This includes:
                                      i)  availing government services electronically—such as passport appointment;
                                      ii)   lowering financial transaction costs through introduction of payment services such as UPI, and
                                      iii)  creating portals for MSMEs to sell goods online to government, resulting in a more transparent
                                         system.


                                      According to Chief Economic Advisor Dr. Anantha Nageswaran, India’s digital infrastructure alone could
                                      add ~0.5% of GDP every year to India’s baseline growth.


                     Exhibit 11:     12
                    India’s UPI
                  transcactions
                 have increased      10
                                    (INR tn)  8
                 in recent years

                                      6

                                      4

                                      2
                              SCAN
                                      0
                                      Aug ’16      Aug ‘17     Aug ‘18     Aug ‘19      Aug ‘20     Aug ‘21     Aug ‘22
                                                                       India UPI transactions (value terms)
                                      Source: NPCI, Nuvama Research

                                      Dawn of manufacturing renaissance

                                      Sure, sustained efforts toward deregulation and reforms led to some hiccups in the short run, but have
                             The      created a long runway for growth for coming decades. Such efforts are not only empowering citizens
                    manufacturing-    and consumers, but – combined with an expanding labour force and evolving global manufacturing
                infrastructure nexus   landscape – are paving the way to scale up manufacturing and infrastructure in a big way.
                 catapulted several
                   Asian economies    It was the manufacturing-infrastructure nexus that catapulted several Asian economies into a higher
                  into a higher orbit;     economic  orbit.  It  may  be  India’s  turn  now.  Improved  investment  climate,  well-defined  business
                         it may be     incentives, efficient government focused on building public infrastructure, enabling legal institutions
                    India’s turn now  and improved debt capacity in the economy (banks and corporate balance sheets are robust now)
                                      clubbed with empowered households offer a solid launching pad for India’s manufacturing renaissance.





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