Page 61 - Nuvama | IC Report 2023
P. 61

INDIA: THE 5D ADVANTAGE


                       Democracies are also stark beneficiaries in other ways. For instance, India’s share in emerging market
                       (EM) indices far outpaces its share in EM GDP. Moreover, India always commands a valuation premium
                       to EMs—a tacit acknowledgement of its democratic credentials and a reward for its free polity.
                       Secondly, the quality of economic growth under democracy is arguably superior to an authoritarian
                       regime.  On  the  surface,  democracies  might  appear  chaotic,  noisy  and  directionless,  and  lacking   Democracies
                       any  vision,  but  such  regimes  have  ear  to  the  ground.  Democracies  function  with  a  broad-based   even allow for
                       understanding of human development, including fulfilment of basic needs of human life—public health,   a vibrant civil
                       malnutrition, mortality rates, food security and so on. Democracies even allow for a vibrant civil society,   society, which goes
                       which goes a long way in filling out the gaps in the social safety nets left by the state.   a long way in filling
                                                                                                            out the gaps in the
                       In Shakespeare’s King Lear, at a deeply ironical moment, when Lear asks blinded Gloucester, “yet you   social safety nets
                       see how this world goes”; Gloucester replies, “I see it feelingly”. This is the way of democracies; they   left by the state
                       may seem to lack a big vision, but they understand the world ‘feelingly’. In other words, democratic
                       regimes are more attuned to the pulse of the nation.

                       One must therefore appreciate the way in which poverty in India has been reduced—and not just by
                       how much or how rapidly. For instance, on Human Freedom Index, China ranks 150 out 165 countries
                       while India is far ahead at 119. On the Rule of Law as well, India ranks 77th versus 96th for China. In sum,
                       economic development in isolation is not the end objective of governance; it must uphold human
                       dignity, which the Human Freedom Index and the Rule of Law Index signify. In fact, the top rankers on
                       both the Human Freedom Index (Switzerland) and the Rule of Law Index (Denmark) are democracies.
                       Finally, democracies have the capacity to evolve. Take the case of India. At one point, large, unwieldy
                       coalition governments had led to complete policy stasis in the country. Economic reforms were a
                       political hot potato while caste was seen as the key instrument for political mobilisation.

                       This has changed, over time. Policy stasis is over, and good governance and development are now the
                       new grounds of electioneering in India. There is now a political consensus on economic reforms. Over
                       the last ten years, India has undertaken momentous reforms – GST, energy, DBT, Digitalisation, RERA,
                       bankruptcy code – which even an authoritarian regime would shy away from. In other words, the Indian
                       democracy is now combining the effectiveness and purposefulness of an authoritarian regime with
                       the liberty and freedom of the democratic polity.

                       In  a  nutshell,  when  economic  development  is  seen  in  more  holistic  terms  and  in  fullness  of  time,   Democracies
                       democracies tend to trump authoritarian regimes. Among the swathe of EMs, India and China are   tend to trump
                       two exceptions in context of democracy and economic development. India has one of the highest   authoritarian
                       democracy scores despite it having the lowest GDP per capita. China scores poorly despite its high   regimes on
                       GDP per capita. It is no coincidence that it’s the former – India – that has been an investor favourite   economic
                       over the last decade via-a-vis the latter (China).                                   development when
                                                                                                            seen in holistic
                       A  suitable  market  analogy  would  be  a  small-cap  stock  being  accorded  a  much  higher  valuation   terms and in
                       premium than a large-cap stock—not necessarily for growth, but for its superior corporate governance.   fullness of time
                       This dynamic is even more critical in today’s uncertain world.





                                                                                                                            59
   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63   64   65   66